Math model shows why first-mover beats fittest
Researchers modeled populations where every individual replaces its neighbor the instant it can, never wasting a reproduction opportunity. The result: an advantageous mutant takes almost infinitely long to take over, even with a strong reproductive edge. The dynamics look more like a speed race than survival of the fittest.
practitioners › Fixation probability drops exponentially with N on well-mixed populations and high-degree graphs, with the effect weaker on cycle graphs, arXiv:2608.06552 submitted August 6, 2026.
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